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From United Nations University ------------------------------------------------------------------- 4. The determinants of TNC activity 5. Modern theories of TNC activity 6. The theory of joint ventures and cooperative agreements 7. Towards a general paradigm of international production -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 4. The determinants of TNC activity 4.1 International production as an extension of an enterprise activities a) the concept of the value added chain b) the main forms of growth i) expand existing activities by acquisition, merger or coalition ii) diversify existing activities along value added chain (vertical integration) or across value added chains (horizontal or lateral diversification) iii) diversify into new markets Each of the above options may or may not involve an international dimension c) the choice of FDI as mode of expansion cf. e.g. exports, and licensing, and collaborative agreements 4.2 Reasons for and types of foreign production The basic objective is to protect and advance the long term commercial interests of the TNC. Success is usually measured in terms of economic power growth, profitability and market share, but in the short-run, at least, other indices e.g. liquidity, a balanced portfolio of foreign assets etc. may be no less important. Moreover there are various types of international production, each of which will be prompted and determined by different factors. a) Motives for initial investment i) to seek new, or protect existing markets: import substituting investment ii) to seek new, or protect existing supply of resources: export oriented investment - natural resources (in primary activities) - labour (in manufacturing and service activities) - technology and information (Third World involvement in developed countries) iii) to seek new, or protect existing competitive advantages b) Motives for investment expansion i) rationalised investment: exploiting the international division of labour by product or process specialisation to advance the global goals of TNCs - benefits arise from integration of complementary value adding activities and sharing of overheads; e.g. economies of scope - economies of scale and specialisation of output, based on distribution of factor endowments - the gains, e.g. improved learning capabilities from the geographical diversification of production and transactions - relationship of rationalized investment to market oriented and resource based investment - the need to have a presence in the leading markets of the world; the concept of 'triad' power ii) vertical and horizontal integration (internalisation) by foreign affiliates c) Other reasons for foreign production i) acquire new markets for investing firms ii) make capital gain or profits on assets acquired at favourable prices iii) as an oligopolistic and/or risk reducing strategy (inherent in much of a) and b)) iv) to diversify asset portfolios v) to extend market power 4.3 The determinants of FDI and international production a) the multiplicity of issues: distinguish among the WHY, the WHERE, WHEN, and the HOW of foreign production b) the distinction between foreign investment, foreign direct investment and the TNC as an institution which organizes and controls value adding activities in foreign countries i) pre 1960 theoretical view of FDI as branch of international capital movements ii) pre 1960 empirical research viewed determinants as extensions of locational economics ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Rugman, Lecraw and Booth(1985) Dicken(1986) See Bibliography ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 5. Modern theories of TNC activity 5.1 The 1960s: development of new "partial" and more micro-economic oriented theories a) the industrial organisation theory market power approaches (Hymer 1960/1970), Kindleberger (1969): Why TNCs? How is it possible for foreign firms to compete alongside domestic firms? b) the location theory approach: Where do TNCs invest? c) theoretical shortcomings of above approaches; the Product Cycle theory (Vernon, 1966, Wells 1972) - Why, where and how do TNCs invest 5.2 Theoretical advances in the 1970s a) extensions of industrial organisation approach: identifying and evaluating the firm/ownership specific advantages that explain patterns of FDI i) superior quality of management ii) innovative capacity iii) product differentiation b) extensions of financial theories i) explaining FDI 'per se' - not international production: imperfections of capital and foreign exchange markets: the Aliber approach ii) explaining the composition of TNCs' foreign activities: portfolio theory c) the strategy of TNCs: a behavioural approach - oligopolistic strategy to preserve markets or forestall competitors; extensions to the market power approach d) extensions of theory of the firm: these focus on the TNC an institution which coordinates complementary value activities across national boundaries i) why firms engage in international production: market failure to transact exchange of intermediate products efficiently - high costs of negotiation and transactions - to lessen the risk of supply disruptions or price hikes - to protect proprietary rights against abuse - absence of future markets - inability to capture full economic rent on proprietary rights - to ensure quality consistency - to protect markets against competitors - to exploit economies of common governance (i.e., those which are external to any one of several value added, but are internal to the firm undertaking them all) ii) how firms seek to exploit advantages over (a) markets and (b) competitors - the degree of equity ownership: joint ventures; the distinction between "ownership" and "control" - the choice between equity investment and trade - the choice between equity and non equity participation ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Dunning(1973,1988) Hood and Young(1979) Grieco in Moran(1987) Jenkins(1988) Newfarmer(1985) Cowling and Sudgen(1987) -the authors examine TNC as the main economic agent of transnational monopoly capitalism See Bibliography -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 6. The theory of joint ventures and cooperative agreements 6.1 The nature of markets and firms a) the spectrum of organising transactional relations between markets and firms; the distinctive characteristics of firms b) a review of the types of association between independent firms - cooperative or competitive arrangements? c) the nature of markets for intermediate products; e.g. technology, management skills etc. 6.2 Issues relating to any form of alliance a) Is equity capital involved? (cf. a joint equity with a non-equity alliance) b) Composition of parties to the alliance: e.g. inter-firm, firm/ government, consortia of firms, mixed c) pattern of financing e.g. debt/equity ratio d) distribution of equity ownership; is it majority, 50/50, or minority foreign owned? Is equity evenly or unevenly divided among investors? What is the balance between the distribution of preference cf. ordinary shares? e) terms of agreement; methods for acquiring equity, declaration of risks and liabilities such as future capital requirements, voting rights, loan guarantees, obligations following dissolution f) control and management issues e.g. composition of Board of Directors, appointment of C.E.O., disclosure of information, etc. g) division of operational rights and responsibilities e.g. with respect to different functions along value added chain h) how does an alliance fit in the TNCs international strategy? i) distribution of financial and non financial benefits; and restrictions on use of shared inputs or output j) can alliances assist TNC in its dealings with local firms, government, labour unions etc.? NOTE: the main reason why joint ventures fail is that the above and similar issues have not been agreed upon prior to the formation of the agreement; and/or because of differences in objectives, expectations and managerial ethos and strategies 6.3 Reasons for TNCs to prefer non-equity alliances a) INTERNAL TO THE FIRM i) as an initial penetration of a foreign market ii) to avoid capital risks associated with equity involvement iii) where goals of TNC are primarily to appropriate economic rent on a particular asset rather than capture the economies of interdependent activities iv) where knowledge et al competitive advantages are easily codifiable v) where need for association with another firm is likely to be temporary, and/or it is intended to serve a very specific purpose (e.g. a production agreement for a single product) vi) as part of a reciprocal licensing arrangements b) EXTERNAL TO THE FIRM i) where markets for intermediate products functions satisfactorily i.e. contractual and market clearing costs are low ii) where government fiat disallows FDI BUT note licensing may abrogate TNCs rights to export particular markets and may help create competition in third markets 6.4 The issues of control; the concept of contract or quasi- internalisation; the dynamics of resource transfer (see e.g. the industry technology cycle (Magee 1977) 6.5 The choice of particular modalities of non-equity involvement preferred a) as determined by i) the particular type or age of asset being transferred cf. management contracts with technical service agreements ii) the raison d'etre for the involvement iii) the timing of the involvement (Davidson and McFeteridge (1985)) b) the extent to which the required "control" over resource allocation and the distribution of economic rents can be built into a contract (e.g., cf. subcontracting with backward vertical integration) c) the extent to which a contract is part of a wider group of contracts (e.g. as in case of co-production and/or complementation agreements) d) the extent to which a continuing relationship between the contractor or contractee is required e.g. cf. turnkey contracts with technical assistance agreements 6.6 Why might joint ventures be preferred as an intermediate organisational route for TNCs a) economies of synergy between partners b) easier, quicker or less expensive route by entry into new markets c) lower capital involvement d) joint ventures might be used as a 'guinea pig' by foreign company e) diversification of risks f) sometimes joint ventures are the only route of investment allowed by host governments g) joint ventures in developing countries: some empirical evidence 6.7 Strategic alliances as a form of collaboration agreement a) types of sectors (high technology, capital or information intensive) b) likely partners c) types of alliances - vertical, horizontal, lateral, etc.; across and along value added chains d) reasons for inter-firm agreements e) determinants of success or failure of alliances f) a cost-benefit analysis for choosing between fully-owned investments and cooperative relationships 6.8 The costs and benefits of joint ventures from the perspective of host developing countries a) the need for an appropriate macro-economic policy b) the need for an adequate indigeneous collectional, technological and entrepreneurial infrastructure; and macro-economic strategy c) the need for full information about the respective contributions (or potential contribution) of TNCs and their local partners, and of the distribution (or likely distribution) of the benefits of joint ventures ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Robinson(1978) Casson(1979) Telesio(1979) Oman(1984) Contractor(1981)(1986) Svejnar and Smith(1984) See Bibliography ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 7. Towards a general paradigm of international production 7.1 Introduction There have been two main attempts to synthesise and unify the various theories of international production, and, by default, non-equity resource transfer viz. the internalisation and eclectic paradigms. In addition, a more macro-economic, trade related and normative explanation has been offered by Kojima(1978) 7.2 Internalisation a) in this paradigm, international production reflects the willingness and ability of firms to internalise intermediate product markets across national boundaries. FDI is the mechanism by which TNCs maintain their control over the organisation of value-adding activities in a foreign country b) the internalisation model purports to explain the very existence of TNCs, in terms of the failure of markets to efficiently transfer intermediate products between independent buyers and sellers located in different countries. It is, in this sense, a general theory of the TNC. Buckley and Casson(1985), Rugman(1986). But it has also been used to explain particular aspects of the decision process by TNCs. In particular the FDI vs. export decision is explained by the costs and benefits of internalising market distorsions (e.g. tariff barriers) over space, and the FDI vs. licensing decision in terms of the costs and benefits of internalising international transaction costs of particular assets 7.3 The eclectic or OLI paradigm: the why, where and how of international production a) an analytic framework for pinpointing the determinants of foreign production and TNC activity, vis-a-vis both trade and licensing, and embracing elements of industrial organisation, trade, and locational theory b) The OLI triumvirate; the three conditions leading for a firm to engage in FDI or to increase its FDI i) competitive or OWNERSHIP (O) advantages, vis-a-vis firms of other nationalities serving the markets it seeks to serve: these advantages are of two kinds - the privileged possession, or access, to specific assets (e.g. technology, management skills, etc) and - the opportunity and ability to coordinate these assets accross national boundaries ii) superior benefits from INTERNALISING the markets or use of these advantages rather than licensing them to independent foreign firms ( I advantages) iii) benefits from using O advantages and I advantages in conjuction with at least some resources located in a foreign country ( L advantages) c) The eclectic paradigm and developments in TNC activity during the 1970s, 1980s and 90s i) the industrial and geographical composition of FDI ii) the trend towards joint ventures and non-equity agreements in some sectors; and towards 100% owned affiliates in others iii) the emergence of outward direct investment by developing countries iv) the growth of export platform type investment v) the growing multinationalisation of many industrial sectors and the burgeoning of intra-industry (cross hauling) FDI (paralleling that of intra-industry trade) vi) comparisons in the structure of ownership on TNCs in Africa, Latin America, Asia and the Pacific and China vii) the globalisation of production and markets; the formation of function-specific strategic alliances viii) the increasing propensity for TNCs to divest some of their activities d) the dynamics of the OLI paradigm: how and why the OLI configuration may change over time; the applicability of the investment development path or cycle (Dunning 1981, 1988) to explaining the changing international investment position of developing economies; strategic behaviour as a response to OLI advantages in time 't' while affecting the value and configuration of OLI advantages in time 't+1' e) the inter-disciplinary nature of the eclectic paradigm. The main differences between the two approaches just described is that the former concentrates on explaining the institutional modality by which resources are transferred across national boundaries (i.e. why and when TNCs trade intermediate products internally rather than make use of external markets) while the eclectic paradigm is also interested in why TNCs can out-compete uninational firms (i.e. why TNCs grow relative to other firms). Moreover, the eclectic paradigm asserts that firms and markets do not perform identical functions; only firms engage in value adding activities. In consequence, it does not accept that the FDI vs. export or licensing decision is always determined by market failure considerations. Observe too that while both paradigms offer a framework for explaining all kinds of international production, the relevant internalisation/OLI variables will depend on the particular type of international production one is seeking to explain (see 4.2). Finally to explain or predict the behaviour of particular TNCs or groups of TNCs both paradigms need to be supplemented by an appreciation of firm specific strategic-related variables. It is here where the business strategy/policy literature is especifically helpful. For an evaluation of the main strategic considerations affecting the globalisation of firms see Porter(1986), Ghoshal(1987) and Barlett and Ghoshal(1989) 7.4 The Kojima approach (Kojima 1978, 1982, Kojima and Ozawa 1984) a) both the internalisation and eclectic paradigms purport to explain the extent to which one country's firms engages in production outside their national boundaries; but they do so not from a macro-economic or normative viewpoint. They ask the question "why do firms or countries engage in or expand, international production" rather than "what is the best allocation of economic activity undertaken by firms of different nationality of ownership within a country (including the generation of O advantages which might be exploited by its own firms in other countries")? b) Kojima is more interested in the second question: he argues that the propensity of countries to engage in FDI is dependent on: i) the comparative advantage of investing, exporting and importing countries of particular resource endowments ii) the market structure within which TNCs operate c) Kojima further alleges that Japanese TNC activity is trade creating while US TNC activity is trade substituting. The evidence no longer supports this contention. He also asserts that Japanese investment in developing countries plays a greater 'tutorial' role than does that from Western countries. Note the eclectic paradigm may also be used to suggest an "optimal" policy towards inward and outward FDI. For contrasting views of the eclectic (and internalisation) and Kojima approach see Kojima(1982), Buckley(1983a) and Kojima and Ozawa(1984). For other attempts to present integrated theories of trade, production and foreign direct investment see Gray and Casson in Black and Dunning(1982). 7.5 The theory of foreign direct investment (or disinvestment). Voluntary divestment by TNCs should be regarded as an on-going process and part of the restructuring of international production. The phenomenon does, however, raise several interesting questions. These include: a) what is meant by disinvestment? b) what are the forms of disinvestment e.g. involuntary and voluntary, partial and total etc. c) what are the reasons for disinvestment? e.g. failure or restructuring d) how does one explain disinvestment? Is it that the factors which make for investment no longer apply? Is there a counterpart to the eclectic paradigm of an increase in foreign production to explaining a fall in production? e) What is the evidence of disinvestment e.g. in which types of sectors, in which countries, by which TNCs, over which time period? ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Caves(1982) Dicken(1986) Rugman, Lecraw and Booth(1985) Kojima(1978,1982) See Bibliography ------------------------------------------------------------------------- RRojas Research Unit/1996 |