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THE ROSENDAL WORKSHOP.
SUSTAINABLE CONSUMPTION AND PRODUCTION: CLARIFYING THE CONCEPTS

UNITED NATIONS
Distr. GENERAL E/CN.17/1996/36 23 April 1996 ORIGINAL: ENGLISH
COMMISSION ON SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
Fourth session
New York, 18 April-3 May 1996
Agenda item 3

CROSS-SECTORAL ISSUES, WITH PARTICULAR REFERENCE
TO THE CRITICAL ELEMENT OF SUSTAINABILITY

Letter dated 19 April 1996 from the Minister of Environment of Norway addressed to the Secretary-General

As a follow-up to the Norwegian initiative on sustainable production and consumption, and as a consequence of the decisions taken by the Commission in 1995, Norway has supported the work of the Organisation of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) in this field.
To facilitate the Commission's work with this issue at the 1996 session, Norway would appreciate that the OECD report from the Rosendal meeting that Norway hosted would be available as an official document.*
I will refer to this report in my speech to the Commission, and I would very much appreciate that it is available to delegations.

(Signed) Thorbjorn BERNTSEN
Minister of Environment
Government of Norway

(* The report of the meeting is being made available in the language of submission only.)

                                            Annex

                                          CONTENTS

1.    INTRODUCTION ............................................  3
      1.1   THE OECD WORK PROGRAMME ...........................  3
      1.2   THE ROSENDAL WORKSHOP .............................  3

2.    WORKSHOP REPORT .........................................  5
      2.1   CLARlFYlNG THE CONCEPTS ...........................  5
      2.2   MOVING FROM CONCEPTS TO POLICY DEVELOPMENT ........ 10
      2.3   POLICY MEASURES: SOME PRACTICAL PROPOSALS ......... 15
      2.4    CONCLUSIONS ...................................... 15

ANNEX A: WORKSHOP BACKGROUND PAPER ............................ 23

ANNEX B: WORKSHOP PARTICIPANTS ................................ 75

I INTRODUCTI0N

1.1 THE OECD WORK PROGRAMME ON SUSTAINABLE CONSUMPTION AND PRODUCTION

In June 1993, the OECD Ministerial Council requested the OECD to examine the relationship between consumption and production patterns and sustainable development. The Environment Directorate has concentrated its efforts on the development of an OECD Work Programme for l995-96, and on contributing to the development of an international work programme on sustainable consumption and production, under the aegis of the UN Commission on Sustainable Development. Recent activities include the organisation of an Experts Seminar at MIT, Boston, USA (December 1994), supporting the Oslo Ministerial Roundtable on Sustainable Consumption (February 1995), the facilitation of information exchange through the OECD Informal Contact Group on sustainable consumption and the Rosendal Workshop which is reported on in this paper.

The OECD Work Programme involves three elements:

- Clarifying the Conceptual Framework;
- Identifying Policy Options and Tools;
- Monitoring and Evaluating Progress.

1. 2 THE ROSENDAL WORKSHOP

The Rosendal workshop, "Sustainable Consumption and Production: Clarifying the Concepts" was organised by the OECD and hosted by the Environment Ministry of Norway, from 2-4 July 1995. It was intended to make a major contribution to the first element of the OECD Work Programme by providing for detailed discussion among some 25 policy makers and other experts who attended the event.

The workshop had three key objectives:

- to identify and examine broad concepts that have been advocated within the international community to effect changes in levels and patterns of consumption and production;

- to assess the potential utility of these concepts for policy development and implementation, thereby highlighting those which appear most promising;

- to clarify boundaries between 'sustainable development' and 'sustainable consumption and production'

More broadly, the workshop aimed at improving the conceptual basis for policy development in OECD countries and helping to focus the efforts of other international organisations on the most promising conceptual approaches to developing policies for more sustainable patterns of production and consumption.

1.2.1 Workshop Discussion Paper

The starting point for workshop discussions was a background paper Sustainable Consumption and Production: Clarifying the Concepts, presented in Annex A of this report.

The purpose of the paper was to expand and sharpen debate among experts attending the workshop. It was prepared for the OECD by Environmental Resources Management (ERM) UK: its views are those of the consultants and do not necessarily reflect those of the OECD or workshop participants.

The paper describes a series of concepts and analyses them in terms of their potential usefulness to policy makers who are interested in developing and implementing measures to achieve more sustainable consumption and production patterns .

The concepts were selected by the OECD Environment Directorate to represent the lines of argument that are most often raised in the current discussion about sustainable consumption and production. They are:

- carrying capacity (a defined environment's maximum persistently supportable load, usually expressed in terms of population numbers of a defined species);

- the steady state economy (a human economy characterised by constant population, capital stocks and rate of material/energy throughput);

- environmental utilisation space or ecospace. (the capacity of the biosphere's environmental functions to support human economic activities, sometimes defined at a national or per capita level according to a 'global fair shares' principle);

- ecological footprint (the area of land functionally required to support a community which lies beyond the land occupied by that community 'appropriated carrying capacity');

- ecological rucksack (the total mass of material flow 'carried by' an stem of consumption in the course of its life cycle);

- natural resource accounting and green GDP (alternative systems of national accounting and performance measures, which incorporate ecological and human welfare considerations);

- eco-efficiency (more efficient use of materials and energy in order to reduce economic costs and environmental impacts - 'more from less').

2 WORKSHOP REPORT

2.1 CLARIFYING THE CONCEPTS

Day l of the workshop opened with a plenary session which reviewed the series of concepts set out in the background paper. In the course of discussion the following key points were raised.

- The background paper was felt to provide a good and reasonably comprehensive point of departure for discussions. The additional concepts of industrial ecology and environmental debt were noted as requiring further attention.

- The concepts under discussion operate at different levels. Carrying capacity was identified as a science-based 'foundation' concept and guiding principle. Ecospace, ecological footprints and rucksacks and the steady state economy serve as metaphors for social change and offer quantitative approaches to assist in objective setting. Eco-efficiency is a broad strategy, applicable at micro or macro-level, while green accounting and green GDP are tools for action.

- With the possible exception of eco-efficiency, the concepts rest on the premise that there are biophysical limits to current economic growth. However, they do not all imply that economic growth cannot continue two key options for 'expanding' economies were mentioned:

- society can pursue qualitative economic development, in which the quality of goods and services is improved through resource efficient processes and social organisation but output, in terms of physical volume, does not increase; and

- society can pursue selective quantitative economic growth, which remains viable if, for example, certain sectors expand but their growth is offset by greater resource efficiency (leading to reduced inputs) and/or contraction in other economic activities.

- There exist assumptions within concepts (particularly ecological footprints and ecological rucksacks) about the damaging effects of international trade and the likely benefits of achieving new (reduced or more efficient) patterns of consumption and production. Two main points were made in relation to this:

- a simplistic view of developing countries supplying the industrialised world with raw materials and receiving finished goods in return is no longer accurate. Patterns of world trade are complex and changing rapidly as manufacturing and service industries relocate at a global level. It is therefore important to recognise the reciprocal nature of consumption patterns within and between countries. Policies for more sustainable consumption/production patterns should focus on creating an 'environmental balance of trade' rather than achieving regional self-sufficiency. The phenomenon of 'appropriated carrying capacity' may be best addressed by an open trading system which is managed to bring mutual benefits environmentally and economically.

- It is currently unclear what the consequences for world trade might be of any major shift in consumption patterns by develoPed countries.

- Sustainable consumption and production, by definition, concern audiences outside the world of policy making. Whatever the merits of sophisticated new concepts, it should be remembered that politicians and the public have an intuitive understanding of carrying capacity and thresholds and the notion of 'living within our means'. This is an important foundation for policy making.

- Concepts such as ecological footprints and ecospace have particular value as descriptive ideas. They can be used as a means of picturing the nature and extent of environmental damage and the forces causing it. They particularly highlight the current inequity of consumption levels within countries and between rich and poor nations: they can serve to inspire the kind of changes needed in industrialised countries.

- The implications which flow from the various concepts should never be regarded as prescriptive. In seeking to realise their objectives, policy makers should beware of creating a 'sustainable' society in which people do not wish to live.

2.1.1 Discussion Groups

Following the plenary discussion, participants split into a number of break-out discussion groups and addressed the questions:

- whether greater clarification of concepts is needed;
- whether additional concepts are needed;
- what policies to encourage more sustainable consumption and prod~ion could be pursued now (even in the absence of consensus on the definition and scope of sustainable consumption and production)?

The outcome of the group discussions is summarised below.

Is there a Need for Greater Clarification of Concepts?

Concepts are inherently 'fuzzy': their function is to provide a mobilising vision as much as to analyse and explain. It is not always helpful to seek to turn them into scientific theories

It is useful to identify the interlinkages between concepts - despite their different starting points and philosophies there are many common elements which can serve as a basis for policy thinking.

It is important to recognise explicitly the subjective judgements and assumptions underpinning concepts, and the objectives they are seeking to achieve.

An important issue requiring further exploration in some concepts is the notion of social choice. Scientific assessment of the earth's capacity to sustain human activities influences, but does not determine, policy making. Establishing critical loads, for example, involves normative judgements as well as scientific study. Concepts can be most helpful when they explicitly recognise the need for environmental/economic/social trade-offs and build their 'future visions' around this political process.

Is there a Need for Additional Concepts?

It was noted by workshop participants that industrial ecology might serve as a unifying concept, linking the ideas of carrying capacity, ecospace, ecoeffficiency and cleaner production. Industrial ecology is far-reaching in its use of the metaphor of metabolism to analyse production and consumption by industry, government, organisations and consumers, and the interactions between them. However, the concept was generally felt to be of greatest interest to business; it remains unclear how industrial ecology can be applied in demand side measures, especially at individual or household level.

The concept of Foodmiles, or the distance travelled from production to market by agricultural products, was noted as another indicator of the international environmental impacts of rich consumer lifestyles. A report by the UK-based SAFE Alliance, which developed the concept, shows that UK food imports by air more than doubled during the 198()s, leading to increased energy consumption and air pollution.

Environmental debt - defined in Sweden as the cost of repairing all environmental damage in the country that is capable of being repaired - was agreed to be a concept of great potential value. Environmental debt has already been operationalised in the sense that the Swedish government has made a commitment that the national environmental debt will not be permitted to rise any further.

Interest was also expressed in whether researchers or policy makers in developing or newly industrialising countries have proposed concepts relating to sustainable consumption and production which might differ significantly from those under consideration at the workshop.

What Policies Could be Pursued Now?

There was agreement that correcting distorted pricing systems, which currently send the wrong signals to producers and consumers, still represents the most effective course of government action.

- Eco-taxes on products and materials remain difficult to implement, though it was suggested that some industries are becoming more receptive to such measures, if they are introduced with due care for fiscal neutrality and maintaining national competitiveness.

- Reduction/removal of subsidies, especially in the energy, agriculture and transport sectors, was felt to be under-explored as a policy option in most OECD countries. Much information relating to the extent and distribution of national subsidies is lacking, and too little is known of the costs and benefits which might follow from their removal. Research in this area is urgently needed.

In the short term, increasing information to producers and consumers is as a 'no regrets' option. Measures include:

- more product information;
- practical guidance (sustainability 'tips') to individuals and households;
- indicators to broadcast the state of the environment and progress towards targets.

Demonstration projects to pilot and publicise alternative products, services and lifestyles were felt to be a useful and cost efficient way to learn lessons and encourage change.

2.2 MOVING FROM CONCEPTS TO POLICY DEVELOPMENT

The second session of the workshop identified a number of concepts as being especially promising for policy development in that they provide:

- a quantitative basis for decision making (carrying capacity);
- a quantitative basis for, and moral guide to, objective setting (ecospace):
- a set of practical ideas to improve economic and environmental performance (eco-efficiency).
Participants divided into two discussion groups to consider various issues involved in translating these concepts into policies for more sustainable consumption and production:

- the use of targets and objectives;

- allocation issues;

- appropriate scale of action; and

- scope of government influence.

2.2.1 Carrying Capacity and Ecospace

Carrying capacity is most easily defined at a local level; for practical policy making, the notion of global carrying capacity is almost meaningless. Carrying capacity was agreed to be an essential starting point for discussions about sustainable consumption but it contains inherent problems relating to implementation. These include:

- scientific uncertainty, which is a major constraint on setting and defending long term goals and targets for reducing resource use/pollution;

- the 'ideological baggage' of the limits-to-growth controversy dating from the l960s, which remains a political problem.

Target setting can only be handled as an ongoing process, subject to revision in the light of new knowledge, technical innovation and changing values.

Critical loads represent society's choices about limits; they are based on scientific estimates of carrying capacity and value judgements about what is important and what environmental/economic/social trade-offs are acceptable. Critical loads~ not carrying capacity, are the real operational substance of political/ environmental debate. The concept of ecospace could be helpful in this debate, for example, in negotiations over access to resources and to the right to pollute. Such debates and negotiations are already in evidence, for example, over whether/how much the developed world should pay poorer countries to undertake biodiversity protection measures.

The concept of 'environmental capacity', or development thresholds defined in terms of environmental critical loads and social perceptions of acceptable limits, was felt to be especially useful in guiding planning policy (eg land use and facility developments) at local and regional level. Demand side measures to control visitor numbers to tourist attractions have been introduced following environmental capacity studies of National Parks in the USA and historic cities such as Venice.

The core issue relating to policy development based on scientifically and/or socially determined 'limits' is that of allocation of access to environmental goods and services. This is necessarily a political judgement. Key factors include: relative strength of interested parties in the decision making process, willingness to pay, traditional ownership ('grandfathering rights') and equity considerations. Ecospace was felt to offer useful guidance in the form of:

- illustrating present inequities of distribution;

- suggesting long term goals for greater equity;

- providing quantitative indicators of sustainable resource use and waste generation.

Participants expressed doubts about the ability of carrying capacity or critical loads to provide the guiding principle of policies for sustainable consumption and production. While a scientific basis for action is necessary, science clearly needs reinforcing by social, economic, quality of life or other arguments which:

- focus on evident problems; and

- encourage agreement that action is necessary.

Some speakers agreed that the concept of ecospace is well suited to describing environmental impacts and social inequities but contested the idea that it could be helpful in pragmatic allocation decisions, especially at international level. A key objection is that 'global fair shares' is not in fact equitable because it is unlikely to allow sufficient 'space' for developing countries to achieve the growth levels they need for real poverty alleviation and social improvement.

2.2.2 Eco-Efficiency

Eco-efficiency is subject to different interpretations. Business tends to regard it as a strategy for achieving growth more efficiently ie with lower financial and environmental costs. NGOs tend to see it as a more fundamental means to reduce absolute levels of energy and material consumption. There is therefore some confusion over goals and targets.

To date, business and some governments have set targets in terms of improved unit efficiency. For example, many Dutch industry sectors have committed to achieving 20 Per cent energy efficiency improvements but no absolute reduction in energy use is implied. By contrast, some environmental experts have suggested targets which utilise efficiency measures in order to achieve dramatic cuts in consumption levels: the "Factor 10 Club" has proposed an average tenfold increase in current levels of resource productivity over the next 30 50 years in order to reduce by half current global flows of non-renewable materials.

Key problems were identified in relation to both approaches:

- progress on efficiency targets set at enterprise level is hard to verify, both in terms of company performance and environmental outcomes;

- targets requiring absolute reductions in consumption levels are hard to justify: many resources are not currently perceived to be in short supply and there is no certainty that reduced consumption will result in 'sustainability'.

Despite these obstacles, eco-efficiency was felt to represent a flexible and pragmatic approach, suitable for translating into action at national, regional and local level, by governments, industry, organisations and households.

Government was felt to have a steering role in:

- defining problems;

- researching and communicating the techniques for, and implications of, major efficiency improvements;

- creating appropriate incentive frameworks;

- developing public sector infrastructure to enable efficient behaviour;

- promoting and implementing international agreements;

- setting an example eg through implementing 'in-house' efficiency programmes (greening of government);

- monitoring and reporting progress in all sectors.

Steps in the right direction were agreed to be more important than consensus on long term goals.

Encouraging eco-efficiency was generally supported as a pragmatic strategy with potential political and economic appeal. Short to medium term efficiency targets are likely to encourage 'win-win' management and planning choices. Ambitious, long-term goals, such as the ten-fold increase in resource productivity proposed by the Factor l0 Club, were felt to represent a very challenging target.

Eco-efficiency was also felt to be applicable to demand side measures aimed at, or undertaken by, households. However, the term 'eco-efficiency' was felt to be too obscure for popular communication; a more meaningful phrase is required .

As with carrying capacity, the concept of eco-efficiency was felt to be insufficient on its own as a basis for policy making. Wider understanding of interlinkages between economic activities and environmental damage, driving forces of change and the psychological/ethical motives of producer and consumer behaviour will be essential to achieving efficiency gains in consumption and production levels or patterns which will have a measurable impact.

2.3 POLICY MEASURES: SOME PRACTICAL PROPOSALS

The second day of the workshop also involved a brainstorming session during which participants listed possible policy measures which could take forward the concepts of carrying capacity/critical loads and eco- efficiency into practical action. These measures are summarised in Box 2.3a.

Box 2.3 a Approaches to encouraging sustainable consumption and production suggested by workshop participants ---------------------------------------------------------Economic Instruments

- Incremental tax shift from labour to resource use and policies

- Progressive reduction of environmentally damaging subsidies

- Zero VAT rating for the top 10 per cent of energy efficient appliances

- Road pricing, congestion charges and petrol price increases above the rate of inflation

- Tax incentives for small cars

Regulation

- Building regulations to require dual piping systems for domestic water supplies

- EIA required for government procurement

- Environmental specification bands to be drawn up for government procurement (e.g. allowing lowest cost purchase within bands)

- Empowerment of consumer organizations through increased scope of action and funding

- Explicit requirements for technology sharing to widen choice of environmentally benign consumer products

- Promotion of life cycle analysis within eco-labelling framework

- Use electronic information systems to inform/promote environmentally beneficial behaviour

- Environmental education in pre-school education system

Social Instruments

- Reference was made to the wide range of infrastructural and lifestyle changes proposed in the report of the workshop "Facilities for a Sustainable Household", hosted by the Ministry of Environment of the Netherlands, Zeist, the Netherlands, January 1995

- Local infrastructure and facilities to enable more sustainable behaviour, coupled with public awareness campaigns utilising advertising, icons, symbolism

- Environmental product/service information targeted at procurement agents of government and companies/organizations

Research and development

- Incentives for industry to undertake market research on the psychology of consumer purchasing behaviour

- Trend analysis of most successful best practice in industry

- Introduction of comparative ranking of multi- nationals' eco-audits

- Local demonstration projects of "sustainable" lifestyles to understand preconditions for successful behaviour change

- Promote and develop opportunities for environmental job creation

International cooperation

- Stronger internalisation of environmental costs should be pursued in international trade negotiations

- Globally compatible eco-labelling scheme, covering environmental inputs and outputs, for products and services

- Promote use of ISO 14000 and develop version for SMEs

----------------------------------------------------------------------

2.4 CONCLUSIONS

On the second day of the workshop, participants re-examined the full array of concepts under discussion and reached consensus on a number of conclusions. One conclusions highlighted the importance of international cooperation in working towards more sustainable consumption and production patterns. In response, a number of participants outlined relevant work programmes: these are summarised at the end of this section.

Conclusion l

In pursuit of a conceptual framework for work on sustainable consumption and production, there appears to be a hierarchical relationship flowing from a core concept, carrying capacity (and related ideas such as critical loads, ecospace and ecological footprints), through strategic approaches, notably eco-efficiency, to tools for action (including green accounting, ecological tax/price reform, design for environment).

Conclusion 2

Encouraging eco-efficiency is currently seen as the most promising strategy, not only for business, but also for Governments and households. It has significant potential as a basis for addressing a wide range of environmental problems. The value of an eco-efficiency strategy could be further enhanced by setting targets. Carrying capacity and ecospace can provide a foundation from which to derive such targets.

Conclusion 3

It was recognised that, in addition to their value for target setting, concepts such as carrying capacity and critical loads probably have the most intuitive meaning for politicians and the public.

Conclusion 4

Ecospace, ecological footprints and ecological rucksacks have value as descriptive concepts that can be used to illustrate environmental damage and the relationships between economy and environment. They all embrace the notion of ecological limits. It was recognised that the distributional issues raised by the use of these concepts are politically very sensitive and that their value for setting normative objectives needs further exploration.

Conclusion 5

There is a need to develop more effective parameters, in particular environmental indicators and green accounting systems, which are better able to define, measure and integrate environmental/economic problems and to measure the effectiveness of policy implementation.

Conclusion 6

A common position regarding the nature, context and size of environmental problems to be addressed is a precondition for the effective introduction of policy tools. Even where scientific uncertainty exists, this should not prevent planning, policy and implementation initiatives for more sustainable consumption and production.

Conclusion 7

The discussions on concepts indicated a need for rethinking the relationship between 'North' and 'South'. This is especially relevant for trade and international negotiations. For example, reduced consumption in the 'North' will not automatically lead to increased consumption in the 'South'. More needs to be done to clarify global interlinkages.

Conclusion 8

Sustainable consumption and production objectives, and policies to achieve them, should focus on the reduction of energy and material flows and their harmful impacts. These policies should take into account their potential impacts in the wider economic and social sphere, both within and beyond OECD countries.

Conclusion 9

International cooperation will be essential in developing policies to encourage more sustainable consumption and production. Reflecting the need for continued international initiatives, representatives from the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), the UN Commission on Sustainable Development (UNCSD), the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and the World Business Council for Sustainable Development (WBCSD) then outlined their work programmes and forthcoming events which will take forward work on sustainable consumption and production.

2.4.1 OECD

The OECD Work Programme on Sustainable Consumption and Production, 1995-96, has been developed in response to the high priority accorded the subject by the UN CSD and within the OECD's Environment Policy Committee. The Programme is led by the Environment Directorate but involves other OECD Directorates and affiliated agencies. The three elements of the Programme involve:

- clarifying the conceptual framework;

- identifying policy options and tools; and

- monitoring and evaluating progress.

It is expected that the second element will begin with a study of the transport sector, to determine environmental, economic and social impacts of current sectoral activity, identify driving forces and trends and to identify potentially efficient and effective mixes of policy instruments to influence consumption and production patterns in the sector.

Interim results of the Work Programme as a whole will be presented to the CSD before the 1996 meeting and a final synthesis report is scheduled for late 1996, in time for the five-year review of Agenda 21.

2.4.2 UN CSD

The third session of the Commission on Sustainable Development (April 1995) adopted a work programme on changing consumption and production patterns. The CSD Secretariat is now building on inputs received from a number of countries and organisations, attempting to synthesise ideas and coordinate implementing national actions. The work programme involves five elements:

- development of long term projections (time horizon of 40 years) to illustrate the consequences of social and economic development trends on consumption and production patterns and their associated environmental impacts. This element is a synthesis of existing studies;

- comparison of social, economic and regulatory policy instruments and packages for achieving change. This element is based on case studies undertaken in developed and developing countries; forthcoming workshops in Korea and Brazil will also provide information;

- further study of the impacts of changes in consumption and production in industrialised countries on development in poorer countries. The focus will be on trade implications of eg eco-labelling;

- work with national governments to secure commitments to action on sustainable consumption and production, including quantified objectives and agreements on monitoring;

- revise UN guidelines for consumer protection to incorporate sustainability considerations.

Sustainable consumption and production is a key area in the CSD's overall work programme and is expected to become a central policy issue in l996.

2.4.3 WBCSD

The World Business Council for Sustainable Development has established a working group on Sustainable Production and Consumption, which will shortly merge with a WBCSD working group on eco-efficiency. The working group's programme aims at (1):

- moving the debate from one which may present barriers and pressure for business to one of opportunities for commercial enterprises;

- identifying strategies and frameworks that satisfy consumer demand and societal needs while promoting environmental quality;

- guiding the agenda so as to avoid stifling competition, economic growth and technological innovation - all necessary components in the achievement of sustainable production and consumption;

- highlighting business accomplishments in moving towards sustainable production and consumption, thereby providing a vehicle for the business community to shape the policy direction of changes in production and consumption patterns.

The WBCSD has adopted a 'platform strategy' to forward this agenda: key events over the next year include:

- an eco-efficiency workshop, hosted by Dow Chemical in Washington DC;

- a workshop on the role of marketing and advertising in promoting more sustainable consumption patterns (Oslo, August 1995);

- a workshop on sustainable consumption and eco-efficiency (Davos 1996);

- the fourth CSD meeting (New York, April 1996); and

- the Summit of the Americas, where WBCSD will chair one of the events.

2.4.4 UNEP

UNEP Industry and Environment launched its Cleaner Production Programme in 1990 with the goal of encouraging countries to move away from end-of-pipe solutions and towards a preventive approach to reducing industry's impact on the environment. The Programme shares many of the concerns and objectives of the sustainable consumption and production agenda; for example, a UNEP working group is currently studying and disseminating information on sustainable product development. Significant UNEP Industry and Environment programmes and events include:

- ongoing establishment of National Cleaner Production Centres (NCPCs) in a joint venture with UNIDO;

- production of a primer on LCA;

- environmental impact assessments of major technology related decisions eg the transfer of hazardous wastes;

- preparation of a training kit on environmental management systems for SMEs to help them implement ISO 14000;

- seminar on the inclusion of environmental issues in the curricula of business schools (September 1995);

- cleaner production seminars in cooperation with the Wuppertal and Stockholm Institutes:

- seminar to evaluate progress on the Cleaner Production Programme (Oxford. September l996).

The European Regional Office of UNEP is providing a platform for policy discussion in cooperation with Friends of the Earth Europe. A seminar will be held in September, 1995 to discuss the report Towards Sustainable Europe, produced by the Wuppertal Institute and FoE, and to examine the role of various social actors in achieving change.

Note

1/ WBCSD, "Sustainable Production and Consumption: Phase I: Definition and Boundaries," draft document, May 1995.

Annex A

OECD Workshop

Sustainable Consumption and Production: Clarifying the Concepts

2-4 July, Rosendal, Norway

Background Paper

CONTENTS


3     INTRODUCTION .........................................   25
      3.1  SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT: SOME OBSERVATIONS ......   26
      3.2  SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTAINABLE

           CONSUMPTION: DRAWING PRELIMINARY BOUNDARIES .....   28

4     ANALYSIS OF THE KEY CONCEPTS .........................   32
      4.1  CARRYING CAPACITY  ..............................   32
      4.2  THE STEADY STATE ECONOMY  .......................   36
      4.3  ENVIRONMENTAL UTILISATION SPACE (ECOSPACE) ......   39
      4.4  ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINTS AND ECOLOGICAL RUCKSACKS ..   42
      4.5  NATURAL RESOURCE ACCOUNTING .....................   47
      4.6  ECO-EFFICIENCY  .................................   51
      4.7  COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF KEY CONCEPTS ............   59

5    SUSTAINABLE CONSUMPTION CONCEPTS AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS  62
      5.1  WHAT IS 'UNSUSTAINABLE CONSUMPTION'? ............   62
      5.2  WHAT BROAD CHANGES ARE REQUIRED AND WHO NEEDS
           TO ACT? ........................................    63
      5.3  WHAT ARE THE POSSIBLE IMPLICATIONS OF
           SUSTAINABLE CONSUMPTION? ........................   64
      5.4  POLICY STARTING POINTS: WHAT IS THE ROLE
           OF GOVERNMENT? ..................................   65
      5.5  CONCEPTS AND POLICY IDEAS .......................   67

6     CONCLUSIONS AND ISSUES FOR FURTHER CONSIDERATION .....   71 

     ENDNOTES .............................................    72

3 INTRODUCTION

Sustainable consumption was launched as a serious policy issue at the Rio Earth Summit. Agenda 21 stated that "the major cause of the continued deterioration of the global environment is the unsustainable pattern of consumption and production, particularly in industrialised countries... " "' and called on developed countries to take the lead in promoting and achieving more sustainable consumption patterns.

The OECD has responded to the challenge of Agenda 21, and subsequent calls for action by the Commission on Sustainable Development, by undertaking a work programme on Sustainable Production and Consumption. The programme will stress management of the demand side of economic activity, rather than control over production processes which has predominated in environmental policy to date. The term sustainable consumption, as used in this paper, embraces both end-use consumers and producers in their role as consumers of energy, raw materials, land and biodiversity.

The first element of the OECD work programme, "Clarifying the Concepts", aims to contribute to debate on the subject by examining concepts which propose future visions of more sustainable consumption patterns and suggest means of achieving them.

This paper has been prepared on the basis of a literature review of a number of concepts, identified by the OECD secretariat as those which, to date, have most often been introduced into the debate surrounding the need to modify consumption patterns. The paper also draws on interviews with experts associated with the development of the concepts or related ideas on sustainable consumption. Concepts reviewed are:

- carrying capacity;

- environmental utilisation space or ecospace;

- the steady state economy;

- ecological 'footprints' and ecological 'rucksacks';

- green accounting (including green GDP and indicators);

- eco-efficiency (including the utilisation-focused economy).

The purpose of this paper is to analyse these concepts in terms of their potential utility in the development and implementation of policies for sustainable consumption. A key objective is to offer guidance on 'drawing the boundaries' between sustainable development and sustainable consumption as a policy area.

A further objective is to expand and sharpen the debate by encouraging international experts in discussion of the various concepts, with a focus on how they might lead to promising policy approaches which may be of value to the OECD's work programme.

It is important to note that concepts are overarching intellectual frameworks which shape ideas but cannot tell us what to do. A fundamental problem in seeking to translate any of the concepts into operational form is that OECD countries have not yet agreed on what are priority 'unsustainable consumption patterns'.

3.I SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT: SOME OBSERVATIONS

The policy and academic debate surrounding sustainable development at global level revolves essentially around three key issues which have significant implications for environmental policy:

- Population Growth. Global population has more than doubled since 1950 and is projected to grow from the present 5.5 billion to about 8.5 billion by 2025. Growth is occurring disproportionately fast in the developing countries where institutional/economic/social systems are currently less able to provide for their population's well-being. The world's population is urbanising faster than it is growing: between now and 2025, the world's urban population is likely to triple (2).

- Economic Growth. Global economic output has increased five-fold since 1950. World commercial energy consumption rose by 45 per cent between 1971 and 1991. Total world consumption of metals, a good indicator of materials demand, rose sharply between 1977 and 1991: aluminium (20%), nickel (37%), zinc (21%)(1). Improvements in energy and materials efficiency have been more than offset by increases in volume output.

- Poverty and Global Inequity. There is an enormous wealth and income disparity between developed and developing countries. Average 1991 GDP per capita was $18,988 in OECD countries, compared with $2,377 for developing countries. Disparities within countries can be equally great, creating social tension and encouraging dissatisfaction with (sometimes adequate) living standards. Despite faster percentage economic growth in the developing countries over recent decades, the global wealth gap has continued to grow. The share of global income going to the richest 20% of the world's people rose from 70 per cent in 1960 to 83 per cent in 1989 (3).

Projected increases in human population numbers and levels of economic output are often identified as the key unsustainable trends in modern society; they Constitute the driving forces behind increased load on the environment. Within these broad trends there is little clarity over precisely what is, and is not, sustainable. Opinion also divides sharply over the capacity of technological advance and the operation of the market to overcome pollution problems and perceived resource scarcities.

Poverty and the wealth gap are similarly identified as one of the key drivers of unsustainable environmental degradation. According to the Worldwatch Institute, "people at either end of the income spectrum are far more likely than those in the middle to damage the earth's ecological health - the rich because of their high consumption of energy, raw materials and manufactured goods, and the poor because they must often cut trees, grow crops, or graze cattle in ways harmful to the earth merely to survive from one day to the next". (4)

The current sustainable development policy 'package', as discussed in fora such as the CSD and IUCN/IIED, is based on pursuing objectives which integrate economic, social and environmental policies in order to:

- avoid and repair environmental damage;

- promote economic development; and

- reduce poverty and inequity at national and global level.

These aims are summarised in Table 1.la. The table indicates the complex interlinkages between problems and policy responses. Two further factors are noted:

- the bulk of national and international policy making, outside the environmental sphere, aims to promote, not contain, economic growth;

- key 'megatrends' in global society such as technological advance and the spread of Western consumer culture, profoundly affect (both positively and negatively) the nature and extent of population and economic growth, consequent environmental impacts and the options available to tackle them. Yet they remain largely beyond the reach (or consideration) of current policy making in any government department.

3.2 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTAINABLE CONSUMPTION: DRAWING PRELIMINARY BOUNDARIES

A sustainable world may be defined as one in which human activities do not undermine the long term productivity of natural systems. It is generally accepted that some loss of natural capital (resources and environmental services) can be sustainably substituted by human made capital (knowledge, technology). It is also widely, though not universally, accepted that some natural resources and services cannot be wholly substituted: topsoil, fresh water, operation of the major nutrient cycles.

Consumption and production is the essence of economic activity; it involves the utilisation of natural resources, their transformation into products and services and their ultimate disposal or dissipation into the environment as wastes. Traditionally, as economies expand, overall levels of resource use and waste generation rise.

Sustainable consumpbon, as an issue in the 1970s, centred around the belief that economic growth was inherently limited by the finite nature of fossil fuel energy, minerals and other non-renewable resources. This 'no-growth' position has since been largely discredited on the grounds that it failed to give due weight to the ability of markets to stimulate technological substitutes as scarcities emerge.

Concern has now shifted to other potentially limiting factors, notably:

- the degradation of renewable resources, particularly agricultural land;

- the accelerating rate of species loss;

- the accumulation of emissions and wastes in the environment whose effects, particularly in combination, represent a largely unknown risk (eg toxification, climate change).

Much research and policy thinking on sustainable consumption and production therefore centres on utilising renewable (and non-renewable) resources more efficiently and developing 'closed loop' production/consumption systems which prevent the escape of wastes into the environment. Efficiency and closed loop systems play a key role in some of the concepts reviewed in this paper.

This essentially environmental perspective has been supplemented by concerns over the inequitable social consequences of modern industrial consumption and production patterns and the desire for a fundamental change in the value systems which underlie 'Western' consumer culture. These concerns have been promoted largely by the development community and environmental pressure groups respectively.

As the ecological, social and ethical elements of the sustainability debate have developed, certain assumptions about what constitutes sustainable development, or the conditions obtaining in a sustainable world, have emerged in recent years. Some of these assumptions now exert a pervasive influence in many discussions about sustainable consumption and production and they are evident in a number of the concepts discussed in this paper. Assumptions include the following:

1) A sustainable world is a world in a state of, or approaching, equilibrium. Many of the concepts examined in this paper favour the pursuit of equilibrium, either literally (achieving the technical state of dynamic equilibrium between natural and economic systems) or, more figuratively, through 'restoring lost balance'. The support of some NGOs, in particular, for achieving sustainable, equilibrium levels of consumption appears to be based partly on the perceived attractions of slowing the pace of change and living a simpler life.

2) A sustainable world is likely to involve reduced levels of production and consumption in the industrialised world. The change is seen variously as requiring an absolute reduction in resource use and a return to simpler lifestyles (deep ecology), a maintenance of present standards of living, achieved through greatly increased energy and materials efficiency (eco-efficiency), and/or a rethinking of the notion of 'quality of life' to emphasise less materialistic goals.

3) A sustainable world will be a more equitable world. Present inequities are not only unjust and morally offensive, they are unsustainable because continued poverty will lead to ecological catastrophe, social unrest and the loss of the resource base and export markets on which the comfortable North depends (5). An allied assumption is that reduced consumpbon in the North will lead to increased development in the South.

These assumptions are especially strong in much NGO thinking on sustainable consumpbon and can also be detected in recent statements arising out of international government/NGO meetings (see Box l.2a).

Achieving more sustainable levels and/or patterns of consumption and production is clearly a vital component of the broader sustainable development agenda. However, if sustainable consumpbon and production is to be successfully pursued as a distinct policy area, it would seem necessary to draw clear boundaries around the subject, in order to clarify objectives and develop appropriate policy tools.

This paper takes the position that sustainable consumption should be approached from the ecological perspective; issues and assumptions about levels and patterns of energy use, material throughput and use of available land area should be central to the sustainable consumpbon debate. The policy focus should be to minimise the risk of irretrievable damage to the earth's life-support functions. This approach is in line with the environmental policy perspective of the OECD's work programme and is pragmatic in that 'sustainability' as a policy issue is still largely the province of environmental agencies.

There are additional reasons for taking this position:

- The goal of biophysical equilibrium (assumption 1) is problematic from a governmental point of view. Equilibrium states can never be defined (or agreed) and are too long-term for practical policy making. In addition, economic and ecological systems are so complex that it is hardly sensible to imagine they can be controlled by human institutions.

- The equation of sustainability and equity (assumption 3) is logically dubious. An equitable world is desirable for its own sake. It is likely that a sustainable world cannot be achieved without a greater degree of equity. But a more equitable world would not necessarily be more sustainable. Therefore, it seems important to draw a distinction between the distributional consequences (equity) of policies for more sustainable consumpbon, which must be taken into account, and the pursuit of equity as a key objective and necessary condition of these policies.

The analysis presented in Section 2 will demonstrate that the essence of all the concepts under review, in their relation to sustainable consumpbon, may be crudely summarised as "do more with less". The principal task is seen as being the reduction of quantitative levels of energy and material consumption in rich countries and the richer sections of developing nations.

From this perspective, the paper explores what the concepts have to offer in terms of visions, policy starting points and practical tools for implementation. The next step, to be undertaken in later stages of the OECD work programme, will be to address the policy questions:

- what specifically are the objectives of sustainable consumption policies ?

- what mechanisms can best encourage various forms of "doing more with less" ?

- who are likely to be the winners and losers in the process ?

- how can he pain and disruption of change best be mitigated ?

Box 1.2a: Sustainable Consumption: the expanding policy agenda

Agenda 21 did not define sustainable consumption patterns but clearly indicated the need to focus policy attention on "the demand for natural resources ... and ... the efficient use of those resources consistent with the goal of minimizing depletion and reducing pollution." The Rio process discussed two key driving forces of unsustainability: population growth,. occurring mainly in developing countries, and "overconsumption" on the part of the industrialized world. Agenda 21 established all countries' common responsibility for sustainability but pointed out that responsibilities were differentiated. The rich world was given lead responsibility for examining its own levels of consumption. The issue of global inequity was introduced by Agenda 21's statement that "Measures to be undertaken at the international level for the protection and enhancement of the environment must take fully into account the current imbalances in the global patterns of consumption and production". (Emphasis added). Thus, a link between unsustainable consumption patterns and current inequities in global resource use and pollution was established.

The first Oslo Symposium on Sustainable Consumption restated the biological basis of consumption patterns: "Current material flows induce pollution, resource depletion, energy consumption and biodiversity and landscape destruction [which] appear unsustainable by any standard". However, the working definition of sustainable consumption proposed at the Symposium also emphasized inter- generational equity and introduced the notion of quality of life, presumably as a pragmatic response to the infeasibility of policy measures which might appear to threaten western consumers with a reduced standard of living: "[Sustainable consumption is] the use of services and related products which respond to basic needs and bring a better quality of life while minimizing the use of natural resources and toxic materials as well as the emissions of waste and pollutants over the life cycle of the service of product so as not to jeopardize the needs of future generations". (6) (Emphasis added)

The burgeoning policy agenda was confirmed at the second Oslo meeting where the key working document stated that "sustainable consumption is an umbrella term, that brings together a number of key issues, such as meeting needs, enhancing the quality of life, improving resource efficiency, minimizing waste, taking a life cycle perspective and taking into account the equity dimension. Integrating these component parts is the central question of how to provide the same or better services to meet the basic requirements of life and the aspirations for improvement for both current and future generations:. (7) (Emphasis added).

4 ANALYSIS OF THE KEY CONCEPTS

This section of the report describes the key characteristics of each of the concepts under review and provides a summary analysis in tabular format. The concepts are then briefly evaluated from the perspective of their potential utility to policy makers. Possibilities for more specific application in policy making are assessed in Section 3.

4.1 CARRYING CAPACITY

Biologists define carrying capacity as the maximum population of a given species that can be supported indefinitely by a defined habit. It has traditionally been used as a measure in the management of wildlife, game or agricultural livestock. The notion of limits is fundamental to carrying capacity: when the maximum population level is exceeded, the resource base declines and - at some later date - so will the population.

The human "population explosion" of the last two centuries, and the concurrent growth in industrial output, has not led to consensus regarding human pressure on the earth's carrying capacity: the earth is an undefined habitat and its capacity to support human numbers at a global level is unknown. Pessimists, from Thomas Malthus to Paul Ehrlich, have argued that unchecked population growth will overwhelm the earth's life support functions, leading to environmental, social and economic disaster. Optimists, such as Julian Simon, and many mainstream economists, believe that technological progress and human ingenuity will always overcome biological 'limits'.

A fundamental problem is presented by the uncertainties surrounding the carrying capacity of ecosystems, even at national or regional level; we do not understand the operation of complex, non-linear systems and we cannot measure or predict the point at which population overload (in the sense of significant failure of biological life-support functions) might occur.

Opposing interpretations of carrying capacity in relation to human activities have led to four essentially different approaches to sustainable development and environmental policy making:

- the notion of limits is irrelevant: continued economic growth under free market conditions, technological innovation and human ingenuity will be capable of overcoming all problems relating to resource scarcity or pollution;

- there are economic, environmental and social benefits to cleaner and more efficient use of resources, but reference to limits and targets is not necessary;

- economic development should be based on the concept of maintenance of stocks whereby the total capital base of our economy (environmental, physical and human) is preserved by substitution between different forms of capital is possible ('weak sustainability');

- in addition to maintaining the overall capital base, economic development should preserve substantial parts of environmental capital intact; such capital should be regarded as 'critical' and non- substitutable ('strong sustainability').


                                Table 2.1a  Carrying Capacity
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Characteristic       Comment
----------------------------------------------------------------------

Intellectual             The intellectual heritage of the idea as 
  Origins                applied to human beings on the earth can be
                         traced from the Ancient Greeks and the Bible. 
                         The modern argument centres on the dilemma of
                         satisfying the objectives of eco-system
                         preservation and economic growth (especially in
                         developing countries), given current
                         projections of population growth and
                         energy/material intensive
                         production/consumption patterns (8).

Key Factors              Carrying capacity is a quantitative concept:
                         key factors include population numbers and
                         density, affluence and technology
                         (Impact = Population x  Affluence x Technology). 
                         Concerns focus on depletion rates of renewable
                         and non-renewable resources and the build-up of
                         hazardous wastes in the environment.  The point
                         at which depletion or waste accumulation might
                         provoke catastrophic break-down in any of the
                         earth's like supporting functions remains largely
                         unknown.

Underlying               Natural ecosystems and human economic systems
  Assumptions            are inextricably linked and neither can be
                         understood in isolation from the other.
                         There exist definable, though often undefined,
                         limits to the capacity of natural ecosystems
                         to support continued economic growth, which
                         increases human "load" on the earth.  Load is a
                         function of population numbers and per capita
                         consumption levels; it embraces both resource
                         consumption and pollution.

Linkage with             A belief in limits to growth has been the
  Sustainable            driving force behind the development of
                         environmental economics, pioneered by
                         economists such as Boulding, Daly, Pearce,
                         Repetto, El Serafy and Maler.  Recent years
                         have seen a major research effort to develop
                         more systemic (bolistic) models which can
                         identify and measure the relationships between
                         the natural environment and the economy.  Key
                         objectives of environmental economics include:

                        - development replaces growth as primary
                          economic goal;
                        - natural capital and ecosystem services valued
                          and incorporated into economic accounting;
                        - adjustment of current future discounting
                          techniques;
                        - adjustment of national performance measure
                          (GDP) to account for resource depletion and
                           pollution;
                        - use of integrated ecological/economic models
                           to predict effects of human behaviour;
                        - use of marked based incentives to internalise
                          environmental costs.

                         The work of environmental economists has been
                         important in translating the largely
                         unquantified concept of limits into techniques
                         available to governments and enterprise. 
                         Formidable methodological problems and
                         disagreements remain, for example over
                         valuation techniques and substitutability
                         between stocks.

Measures/                 The basic measure of carrying capacity is
  Indicators              population numbers per unit area.  In
                          ecological growth models, carrying capacity is
                          a constant that expresses the environmental
                          limit by which a population is constrained.
                          In complex eco-systems, this measure involves
                          complicated inter-relationships between
                          mutually dependent species.  A common criticism
                          of carrying capacity as applied to humans, is
                          that it fails to take account of the different
                          resource requirements of humans at different
                          levels of economic development or of human
                          capacity to 'expand' carrying capacity through
                          technology.  (See Ecospace and Ecological
                          Footprints for conflicting ideas on this
                          point).

Economic                  The concept of carrying capacity does not make
  Implications            recommendations or imply specific changes in
  (e.g.wealth,            production and consumption patterns.  Is guiding 
  production/             principle is that we operate 'within the earth's
  consumption             limits'. Determining limits, and means of 
  patterns,               staying within them, is left to the political
  competitiveness,        process.
  employment)

Trade and                 Some environmental economists argue that 
  Development             international trade is an inefficient means of
                          exploiting the earth's productive capacity and
                          the quest for export led growth (or the need to
                          earn foreign currency to service debt
                          requirements) often ;leads to, for example,
                          environmentally damaging agricultural
                          practices, inappropriate industrial development
                          and high energy use and pollution associate
                          with transportation.

Technology                No specific recommendations.

Appropriate Scale         Carrying capacity is most easily 
    of Action             operationalised at local level,  where
                          'critical loads' can be determined for
                          specified environments, for example acid
                          deposition levels that can be tolerated by
                          individual heathers.  Critical loads are thus
                          determined by science and value judgements
                          about what should be protected.  The
                          international nature of threats such as climate
                          change has stimulated efforts to agree (nominal)
                          global critical loads for e.g. emissions of C02
                          and ozone deleting substances.

Proposed Policy           Carrying capacity, the most purely scientific of
  Approaches              the concepts under discussion, offers the least
                          guidance on 'what we should do'.  It is a
                          concept without a firm political or moral
                          context.  Carrying capacity as a metaphor for
                          limits and thresholds of change has nonetheless
                          exerted a strong influence on policy makers,
                          stimulating the use of risk assessment and the
                          precautionary principle, action on substance
                          controls and interest in clean technology and
                          financial instruments.  Scepticism over the
                          reality of limits, however, has tended to
                          undermine implementation.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

4.1.1 The Scope for Government Action

Carrying capacity is undoubtedly the most influential of the concepts under discussion in environmental policy development. First generation environmental laws (substance bans and process controls to protect human health), land use planning (to protect valued habitats and scenery), performance standards and ambient quality objectives are all based, however vaguely, on the notion that out social and economic activities must be controlled in the interests of health, safety and quality of life.

National policy objectives based on stricter calculations of critical loads are rate; a notable exception being the environmental targets established in the National Environmental Policy Plan of the Netherlands. The report "Concern for Tomorrow" (RIVM, 1988) set out environmental quality objectives for the Netherlands, based on critical load analysis, and estimated the load reduction (expressed as percentages of polluting emissions) necessary to achieve them. Despite this scientific origin, the 'sustainable level' of pollution, i.e. the Netherlands' carrying capacity for economic activity, was ultimately determined through the political process. Environmental quality and pollution reduction targets were agreed only after intense political negotiation and calculation of the likely impact of environmental policies on economic performance (the environmental goals of the NEPP are intended to be achieved in the context of a doubling of GNP).

Another significant development of recent years has been the signing of International Agreements which recognise limits to global carrying capacity for key pollutants. (These limits are not absolute but represent thresholds beyond which current human activities would probably be severely disrupted). For example, the Montreal Protocol (most recently amended in 1992) aims to eliminate emissions of most ozone-depleting substances - the 'sustainable level' of emissions is not known and carrying capacity has effectively been agreed to be zero. The Climate Change Convention (1992) commits signatory countries to stabilise their emissions of CO2 at 1990 levels; again sustainable emission limits are not known but stabilisation would represent an important first step.

A key lesson of these agreements appears to be that precise knowledge of carrying capacity is less important than the perceived need for action and the ability to agree on goals that can demonstrate progress in the right direction. As scientific understanding and technical possibilities advance, these political agreements on carrying capacity will be continually redefined.

4.2 THE STEADY STATE ECONOMY

The concept of the steady state economy (SSE) was developed as a paradigm of sustainable development by Herman Daly (see BOX 2.2a). The SSE is defined by four characteristics:

- a constant population of human bodies;

- a constant population or stock of artifacts (exosomatic capital or extensions of human bodies);

- the levels at which the two populations are held constant are sufficient for a good life and sustainable for a long future;

- the rate of throughput of matter-energy by which the two stocks are maintained is reduced to the lowest feasible level. For the population, this means that birth rates are equal to death rates at low levels so that life expectancy is high. For artifacts, it means that production equals deprecation at low levels so that artifacts are long lasting, and depletion and pollution are kept low.

The SSE assumes that the stock of humans and artifacts remains constant while the elements of 'cultural capital' - information. wisdom, distribution of wealth and income, product mix etc - can change.

More recently, Daly has introduced the metaphor of the 'Plimsoll Line' for the environment. Samuel Plimsoll was a British Member of Parliament who, in 1875, proposed that a line be painted on the hulls of ships, indicating the depth to which they could safely be loaded. An environmental Plimsoll line would therefore indicate the 'level' to which the environment can be burdened by economic activity without unacceptable consequences. The level of the mark is an overall constraint within which different economic activities (equivalent to different elements of ship's cargo) can be increased, decreased or moved around. A steady state economy should operate at, or below, the Plimsoll line.

                            Table 2.2a  The Steady State Economy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Characteristic               Comment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Intellectual     The concept as applied to sustainable development owes most
  Origin         to the American environmental economist Herman Daly who set
                 out his ideas in 1977 in "Steady State Economics" (9).  He
                 notes that the concept is not new (citing John Stuart Mill's
                 chapter in "Principles of Political Economy") and reminds us
                 that the notion of growth as the norm is relatively new in
                 Western thinking.

Key Factors      Daly's work rests on the premise that the human made economy
                 is "an open sub-system of the earth ecosystem, which is
                 finite, non-growing and materially closed".  As the economy
                 grows, it incorporates an increasing proportion of the total
                 ecosystem;  it must reach a limit at 100% if not before. 
                 Sustainable economic growth is therefore, in Daly's view,
                 "an impossibility theorem".

                 A distinction between economic growth, conceived and
                 measured in quantitative terms, and economic development,
                 conceived in qualitative terms and measured in terms of
                 efficiency ratios.

Underlying       The steady state economy is a non-growth economy in bio-
  Assumptions    physical equilibrium with natural systems.  A dynamic
                 element is allowed for in terms of human culture but the
                 objective of cultural dynamism is to maintain ecological
                 equilibrium.

                 The steady state economy is achievable only through "moral
                 growth" of human society, in which consensus on "objective
                 values" takes precedence over technical determinism and
                 enables society consciously to choose a new direction.

Linkage with     Ecological viability:  The steady state economy depends on
  Sustainable    the adoption of socio-economic behaviour patterns where
  Development    a) stocks are satisficed or maintained at a level sufficient
                 for an abundant life for the present generation and
                 ecologically sustainable for a long (but not indefinite)
                 future;  b) service is maximised, given the constant stock;
                 and  c) throughput is minimised.  The overall goal is
                 sustainable equilibrium between economic and natural systems
                 within the earth's carrying capacity.

                 Equity: Daly summarises the right rules of action as that
                 which pursues a sufficient per capita income for the
                 greatest number of people over time: "the basic needs of all
                 present people take priority over future numbers, but the
                 existence of more future people takes priority over the
                 trivial wants of the present".  Daly notes the difficulty of
                 defining "sufficient" (though not "trivial").

                 Quality of life:  Daly assumes that beyond some level of
                 sufficiency, further increase in per capita goods does not
                 increase quality of life and may diminish it.  Despite the
                 social and economic control required in the SSE, the point
                 is made that freedom is to some extent a function of slack,
                 or the distance between maximum carrying capacity and actual
                 load.  A system operating at its carrying capacity has no
                 room for error or the freedom that permits error.

Measures/        Key macro-level measures identified in "Steady State 
  Indicators     Economics" are:

                 - service efficiency, measured in terms of allocative
                   efficiency ("does the stock consist of artifacts that
                   people most want to use and are they allocated to the most
                   important uses?") and distributive efficiency ("is the
                   distribution of the stock among alternative people such
                   that the trivial wants of some people do not take
                   precedence over the basic needs of others?")

                 - maintenance efficiency, measured in terms of durability
                   (lifetime of an individual artifact) and replaceability
                   (how easily can the artifact be replaced ?).

Economic Impli-  The concept of SSE is independent of GDP. Alternative
  cations (e.g.  social accounts proposed are to measure the value of service
  wealth,        (benefit) and the value of throughput (cost). Economic
  production/    development is defined in terms of an increase in efficiency
  consumption    ratios, with stock constant, or as an increase in service,
  patterns,      with throughput constant.  Daly argues that the likely
  competitive-   market effects of minimum and maximum income levels, maximum
  ness,          wealth limits and resource depletion quotas (see "Proposed
  employment)    Policy Approaches" later in this table) would be the
                 legitimation of private property and the free market and the
                 removal of incentives for monopolistic behaviour by
                 enterprise, for unionised labour and for distorting
                 subsidies by government.  His exposition is too detailed to
                 be adequately summarised in this paper.  

Trade and        Resource depletion quotas are also proposed for imported
  Development    raw materials (but not finished goods), enabling control
                 over the 'footprint' effect (see Section 2.4).  Raw material
                 exporting countries would suffer from reduced export
                 opportunities but are expected to benefit from long-term
                 enforced improvement in the management of their own
                 resources.  Population control and environmental protection
                 policies are foreseen as possible preconditions for
                 membership of new free-trade blocs.

Technology       A fixed rate of resource depletion (achieved via quotas) is
                 expected to focus technology development on solar energy and
                 renewables.

Appropriate      National, to be followed by internationally coordinated
  Scale of       action.
  Action

Proposed Policy  Daly proposed a centralised 'Distribution Institution' to:
  Approaches     
                 - set upper limits to wealth and income and minimum limits
                   to income (though not to wealth);

                 - allocate transferable birth licences to achieve population
                   stability (an idea first proposed by Kenneth Boulding in
                   1964);

                 - establish depletion quotas to control resource use.
                 The allocation of depletion quotas and distribution of
                 income within upper and lower limits would be governed by the
                 market.  Distribution of birth licences to be on the basis
                 of equity (one person, one licence) but reallocation via
                 market exchange would be allowed.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

4.2.l The Scope for Government Action

The steady state economy is proposed as an alternative to the conventional growth-oriented economic model in which exchange value, abstracted from physical energy and material flows, circulates between firms and households in a closed loop. It is a non-growth economy, maintained at some desired, sufficient level by low rates of maintenance throughput. The concept is intended to reshape our notions of economic growth and, more fundamentally, of what constitutes human progress.

The steady state economy presents a moral and intellectual framework - a new paradigm which will attract the interest of policy makers to the extent that it reflects their own beliefs, values and preferences. The concept's value lies in its possible influence on decision makers at a personal, ethical level. It is clearly not capable of direct translation into policy in any conceivable near term political economy. In particular, achieving and maintaining the steady state economy would require an improbably high level of centralised and consistent control. Apart from the implications for civil liberties, it seems likely that economic and ecological systems are too complex to be managed in this way by human institutions.

However, a key element of the concept is that the final benefit of all economic activity is service ie "the satisfaction experienced when wants are satisfied". This is the essence of the 'end-user approach' which seeks to identify and meet consumer demands through providing more sustainable goods and services. This issue is discussed in more detail in Section 2.6.2: The Utilisation-Focused Economy.

4.3 ENVIRONMENTAL UTILISATION SPACE (ECOSPACE)

Environmental utilisation involves the use of resources from and discharge of wastes into the environment. The environment responds by regenerating (renewable) resources and absorbing wastes: this capacity is the available 'space', the boundaries of which are determined by the patterns and levels of economic activity (utilisation). As environmental degradation increases, reducing regenerative and absorptive capacity, the environmental utilisation space decreases.

Environmental utilisation space (also known as EUS or ecospace) is described by Hans Opschoor, one of the foremost thinkers on the subject, as a metaphor to capture the notion of limits and the need for redistribution of access to resources. Academic researchers and NGOs have developed the concept very much with a view to developing thinking on sustainable consumption. A key objective in the development of ecospace has been to extend the notion of carrying capacity by using human economic activities (not population) as the measure of critical loads and, particularly, by linking regenerative and waste absorptive processes to one another in order to demonstrate environmental/economic interlinkages.

Environmental utilisation space refines the concept of carrying capacity in other respects:

- It is a dynamic concept; societies can exist at different intensities of environmental utilisation. They can live beyond their ecospace by accepting environmental degradation (but this will reduce the ecospace available to future generations unless the damage can be repaired), and they can expand their ecospace through efficient technologies and restructured production/consumption patterns.

- It is not purely science based. The concept favours 'strong' sustainability (preservation of renewable stocks at levels sufficient to sustain income; quality of regenerative systems maintained at beyond minimum safe standards). However, it accepts that societies must determine their own feasible level of environmental utilisation which, while it must not undermine life support functions, may be less than optimal environmentally (eg acceptance of some species loss).

- It relates environmental limits to the energy and material demands of economic processes (who needs, produces and consumes what). The limits can be effectively expanded where new technologies/behaviour Patterns enable more economic value or utility to be derived from given environmental inputs with less pollution and waste. The implication is that economic rowth per se is no constrained by national or global ecospace.

                   Table 2.3a  Environmental Utilisation Space (Ecospace)    
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Characteristic   Comment
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Intellectual     The term EUS was first used by Horst Siebert in 1982 (10).    
Origin           The concept has been applied to sustainable development and
                 developed in some detail by Opschoor et al (11), with
                 particular emphasis on understanding the dynamic interaction
                 between physical limits and human demands on the
                 environment.  The ecospace concept has been adopted with
                 enthusiasm by NGOs, notably Friends of the Earth, who see
                 it as a basis for achieving more equitable distribution of
                 access to global environmental services (use of resources
                 and the 'right to pollute').

Key Factors      Quantitative limits (carrying capacity and critical loads)
                 set on the basis of scientific analysis and political
                 evaluation of the risks associated with exceeding such
                 limits.  Some analysts add a distributional element, and try
                 to allocate established ecospace at a national, regional or
                 per capita level (global 'fair shares').

Underlying       A complete picture of limits to growth can never be known
  Assumptions    and, in any case, limits will be subject to constant change.
                 Determining ecospace and related policy objectives, will be
                 a continuous, political process.

                 Greater global equity is necessary for sustainability.  The
                 current example set by the affluent North creates an
                 irresistible political/social demand in developing countries
                 to achieve, not simply an equivalent level of comfort, but
                 the same lifestyle.

Linkage with     EUS is defined by the interaction of environmental services
  Sustainable    (sources and sinks) and human activities;  unlike carrying
  Development    capacity, it has no meaning as a purely biophysical concept.  
                 The concept therefore leads itself to development as a
                 politically pragmatic tool for thinking about sustainable
                 development.

                 Ecospace highlights the interlinkages between human demands
                 and impacts on environmental services.  For example,
                 industrial pollution of the North Sea affects the fertility
                 of fish, therefore fishing quotas need to take account of
                 industrial activity.  Trade-offs between environmental costs
                 and economic benefits are thus made more explicit.

                 On the issue of equity, ecospace provides a rationale for
                 dividing (hypothetical) rights to consume and pollute. 
                 Division on a per capita basis is not assumed to be a wholly
                 workable goal but it provides (a) a yardstick for broad
                 assessment of current inequities and (b) a starting point
                 for allocation of rights in any future extension of
                 marketable rights (e.g. tradeable permits) to global
                 commons.

Measures/        Measures of environmental utilisation space must somehow
  Indicators     incorporate its dynamic element - the fact that human
                 demands and impacts on the environment change over time.  A
                 measure suggested by Musters et al (12) is that of
                 'functional unit' which measures the size of a resource,
                 modified according to the (competing) demands made on it and
                 the quality required accordingly.  Environmental performance
                 indicators based on EUS are under development (13).

                 Friends of the Earth Europe chose to calculate Europe's EUS
                 not according to resource availability but on the basis of
                 environmental impacts of resource use.  They propose a set
                 of indicators based on key resource input levels (which take
                 account of both resource depletion and pollution levels).

Economic Impli-  Opschoor proposes a flexible ecospace, determined by science
  cations (e.g.  and value judgements, which allows for economic growth
  wealth,        subject to a precautionary approach to environmental
  production/    exploitation.  Friends of the Earth interpret ecospace as a
  consumption    more physical ceiling to economic growth and suggest a
  patterns,      non-growth economy managed within defined matter-energy
  competitive-   throughput limits.  Certain sectors of the economy may
  ness,          continue to grow if others shrink correspondingly. However,
  employment)    FoE emphasise the potential for maintaining comfortable
                 lifestyles within these limits.  Alongside technological
                 change (see below) FoE propose a 'new model of wealth' that
                 redefines well-being in less product and service oriented
                 ways.

                 FoE see wealth distribution is a critical factor; the North
                 must accept a much reduced ecospace in order that the South
                 can achieve acceptable standards of socio-economic
                 development.  FoE propose the overall consumption levels in
                 the presently industrialised world should be reduced by a
                 factor of 10.  (See also Table 2.6a and endnote 35).

Trade and        The ecospace concept presents no serious objections to
  Development    international trade in principle.  Global 'fair shares'
                 implies that more ecospace (resource and sink capacity) will
                 be made available for use in developing countries, rather
                 than being exported to the rich North.

Technology       Technology is key to allowing continued economic growth
                 (Opschoor) by expanding the available ecopace.  It is also
                 critical in FoE's scenario of a sustainable Europe: 
                 increased resource efficiency, reduced material input,
                 optimised products, new eco-efficient services are proposed
                 in order to achieve their target input reductions.

Appropriate      The appropriate scale is largely a function of time.
  Scale of       Global calculations of ecospace and agreement on global 
  Action         fair shares would be a continuing process into the
                 foreseeable future.  The concept arguably could have more
                 immediate application at regional or local level.  The
                 global equity element might be downplayed but national
                 calculations of ecospace could provide useful guidance in
                 deciding between development options (for example, more
                 energy consumption v more land lost).

Proposed Policy  An explicit attempt to build a policy approach around
  Approaches     ecospace has been made by Friends of the Earth (FoE), in
                 their scenarios for a 'sustainable Netherlands' (14) and
                 'sustainable Europe' (15).  FoE calculated the ecospace of
                 the Netherlands and of Europe by estimating global or
                 continental environmental resources and services and
                 'sharing' them globally on an equal per capita basis.  If
                 calculated national ecospace is regarded as a national
                 'budget', the political process then becomes one of
                 determining 'how much the nation can spend' and policy
                 objectives should be framed in terms of inputs.

                 This approach represents a departure from traditional
                 environmental policy which tends to focus on outputs, i.e.
                 pollution levels.  The FoE studies suggested input reduction
                 targets for energy ad key raw materials.  Input targets, FoE
                 argue, offer the possibility of controlling resource use,
                 limiting pollution and stimulating efficiency.  They also
                 provide a measure of the 'sustainability gap', i.e. the
                 difference between our present input (consumption) levels
                 and sustainable levels.

                 FoE regards ecological tax reform as crucial.  Tradeable
                 permits are viewed by both Opschoor and FoE as a key
                 mechanism for making input targets and quotas operational.
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4.3.1 The Scope for Government Action

Environmental utilisation space has generated intense interest among NGOs; 29 national Friends of the Earth organisations are participating in a joint programme to develop concrete proposals for sustainability based on the concept. Interest at government level appears to be largely confined to the Netherlands, encouraged perhaps by the country's highly visible environmental pressures, the intellectual framework of the NEPP, and a cultural tradition of shared responsibility.

Ecospace, as defined by Opschoor, offers an ethical point of departure and a framework for policy making, which explicitly addresses the need for scientific measurement, subjective judgements on risk and uncertainty and political dialogue on 'fair shares'. Risk assessment is envisaged as playing a major role in decisions on how much ecospace to utilise. Since attitudes to risk become more stringent with increasing wealth, disputes between North and South on the physical boundaries of development are to be expected. Opschoor foresees a long political process in which risks and standards are constantly redrawn, with a gradual convergence between countries (in the manner that standards regarding social and labour conditions are still converging).

Critics of distributional interpretations of ecospace argue that the calculation of global 'fair shares' is an unnecessary complication. International agreements on distributional issues are negotiated in a complex web of political and economic clout, existing rights of use (grandfathering) and current understanding of technical feasibility, costs and perceived risks. However, it is fair to say that current international debate regarding, for example, national 'rights' to emit carbon dioxide or to use the genetic resources of tropical rainforests, represent precisely the blend of science and political negotiation described above.

A disadvantage of ecospace, especially as espoused by FoE, is that 'living within the ecospace' has overtones of rationing; a difficult message to sell where most consumers/producers do not recognise resource scarcity (eg oil) and/or the link between consumption and ecological damage is not immediately apparent (e.g. species loss).

4.4 ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINTS AND ECOLOGICAL Rucksacks

The concepts of ecological footprints and ecological rucksacks have been developed in an attempt to estimate the environmental capital requirements of an economy, based on an interpretation of carrying capacity that takes into account the impacts of technological advance and trade.